10/17/2024
Wilshire estimates a 5.4% increase in the aggregate funded ratio for U.S. state pension plans in the third quarter of 2024.
Santa Monica, Calif., October 17, 2024 – The aggregate funded ratio for U.S. state pension plans increased by an estimated 5.4 percentage points during the third quarter of 2024 to end the quarter at 89.1%, according to Wilshire, a diversified global financial services firm. Wilshire assists in providing a suite of OCIO and advisory services to some of the nation’s largest retirement plans which help fund the retirement of millions of Americans.
The quarterly change in funding resulted from a 7.2% increase in asset value and a 0.7% increase in liability value. The aggregate funded ratio is estimated to have increased by 9.2% and 15.1% year-to-date and over the trailing twelve months, respectively.
“This quarter’s increase in the aggregate funded status was driven by positive returns across most asset classes, with the FT Wilshire 5000 IndexSM recording its fifth consecutive monthly increase and ending September at an all-time high, rising more than 20% during the first three quarters of 2024,” stated Ned McGuire, Managing Director at Wilshire. “This quarter’s funded ratio estimate of 89.1% is the highest since December 2016, when Wilshire began reporting quarter-end funded ratio estimates. However, it remains well below the funded ratio of 95.1% that was observed before the Great Financial Crisis,” Mr. McGuire added.
A 12-month review of the funded ratio follows:
The aggregate figures represent an estimate of the combined assets and liabilities of state pension plans included in Wilshire’s 2024 state funding study. The funded ratio is based on liabilities, service cost, benefit payments and contributions in line with Wilshire’s 2024 state funding study.
Wilshire’s practice is to collect data on public pension plans from Annual Comprehensive Financial Reports (ACFR) filings as of their fiscal year-end(FYE). All data for fiscal year 2023 is based on the 241 constituents in Wilshire State and City & County pension plans that maintain defined benefit pension plans as of year-end 2023. The estimated monthly funded ratios are based on liabilities, service cost, benefit payments and contributions in line with Wilshire’s 2024 State and City & County funding studies.
The assumed asset allocation is below:
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